{"id":160,"date":"2026-05-23T11:38:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T11:38:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prorelocationteam.com\/?p=160"},"modified":"2026-05-23T11:38:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T11:38:38","slug":"as-the-kremlin-eyes-a-thaw-with-the-white-house-russias-pro-war-hawks-arent-too-happy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prorelocationteam.com\/?p=160","title":{"rendered":"As the Kremlin eyes a thaw with the White House, Russia\u2019s pro\u2011war hawks aren\u2019t too\u00a0happy"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

At face value, the Kremlin has plenty to celebrate after U.S. and Russian officials held high-level bilateral talks on the war in Ukraine for the first time since the full-scale conflict began in 2022.<\/p>\n

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Russian delegates at the meeting, which took place on Feb. 18 in Saudi Arabia, struck an ebullient tone. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov concluded that \u201cthe American side has begun to better understand our position,\u201d while Kirill Dmitriev, the head of Russia\u2019s sovereign wealth fund and an envoy for Moscow, noted that the delegates managed to loosen up enough to laugh and joke. President Vladimir Putin did not attend the meeting, but he characterized it the following day as \u201cvery friendly,\u201d going as far as to describe the American delegation as \u201ccompletely different people\u201d who were \u201cready to negotiate with an open mind and without any judgment over what was done in the past.\u201d<\/p>\n

And the talks are far from the only reason for optimism in Moscow. In statements that echoed Kremlin propaganda, U.S. President Donald Trump blamed Ukraine for being invaded and described Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as a \u201cdictator.\u201d The U.S. then sided with Russia in two United Nations votes on the conflict and opposed language describing Russia as the aggressor in a draft G7 statement marking the anniversary of the war.<\/p>\n

This perceived rapprochement between Washington and Moscow has many critics on both sides of the Atlantic.<\/p>\n

Within Russia the reaction has been mixed. And not everybody in Moscow is celebrating the apparent shift in U.S. policy.<\/p>\n

Favoring pragmatism<\/h2>\n

Of course, many Russians would welcome a thaw in relations. In January, Russia\u2019s leading independent polling group found that 61% of Russians favored peace talks over continuing the war in Ukraine \u2013 the highest level yet. Meanwhile, the number of web searches for \u201cWhen will the \u2018Special Military Operation\u2019 end?\u201d on Yandex, a Russian tech firm, reached its highest-ever weekly total in the wake of the U.S.-Russia talks.<\/p>\n

While public opinion is unlikely to shape the Kremlin\u2019s approach given Putin\u2019s sole control over major foreign policy decisions, evidence suggests that a rapprochement with the United States could also be a boon for Putin at home. <\/p>\n

In a recently published article in the peer-reviewed journal International Security, my co-author Henry Hale and I found that while most Russians view the U.S. and NATO as threats, they largely prefer a pragmatic, measured response from the Kremlin \u2013 an approach they believed Putin delivered prior to the war in 2022. <\/p>\n

High-level summits between Russia and the U.S. have tended to be well received, we found. This is because they tap into a widely held preference for cooperation as well as depicting Russia as a geopolitical \u201cequal\u201d to the U.S.<\/p>\n

Pro-war hardliners speak out<\/h2>\n

Yet not everyone is pleased with the prospect of closer U.S. ties. Russia\u2019s vocal minority of tub-thumping war supporters is already angry.<\/p>\n

This loose community of so-called \u201cZ-patriots\u201d \u2013 a reference to the large \u201cZ\u201d letters marking Russian military equipment at the beginning of the war \u2013 has been a double-edged sword for the Kremlin.<\/p>\n

While they have been helpful in mobilizing grassroots support for the war, they have also lambasted Moscow\u2019s execution and made pointed criticisms of top military brass. Such attacks are, in effect, a way of making veiled attacks on Putin himself.<\/p>\n

And we are talking about a sizable minority. Estimates indicate that Z-patriots \u2013 the more hawkish and ideologically committed segment of war supporters \u2013 represent 13% to 27% of the Russian population.<\/p>\n

One of this group\u2019s most prominent ideologues, Zakhar Prilepin, didn\u2019t pull any punches in a recent interview. He described as \u201chumiliating\u201d the fact that \u201cthe Russian media community, political scientists and politicians are dancing with joy and telling us how wonderful everything is (now that) Trump has arrived.\u201d<\/p>\n

There are reasons to take this group seriously. According to Marl\u00e8ne Laruelle, an expert on nationalism and ideology in Russia, the Z-patriots are emerging as key opinion leaders.<\/p>\n

Unlike other ideological camps in Russia, the Z-patriots are very much a product of the war, having emerged from the popular military blogging community and with deep connections to paramilitary and veterans organizations. Indeed, many sympathized with former mercenary Wagner Group chief Yevgeny Prigozhin\u2019s anti-elite rants, while Igor Girkin, a former Donbas warlord who claimed to have sparked the initial war in eastern Ukraine in 2014, openly mocked Putin to his almost million-strong Telegram followers.<\/p>\n

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The Kremlin partially cracked down on some of the Z-patriots in 2023. Prigozhin\u2019s ill-fated mutiny in June was followed by his suspicious death in a plane crash later that summer, while Girkin was jailed and handed a four-year prison sentence for \u201cinciting extremism.\u201d<\/p>\n

Yet the Z-patriots remain a force. Girkin, commenting on the U.S.-Russia talks from prison, lamented the \u201cegregious managerial and command failure\u201d over the past three years and sarcastically concluded that Moscow\u2019s political elites, aware of their own weakness, are likely to \u201c\u2018drag their heels\u2019 in their inimitable style \u2013 and with their well-known genius.\u201d<\/p>\n

Other pro-war voices expressed skepticism about the information communicated by the Russian delegation and ironically said they expected the Kremlin would pass a law against \u201cdiscrediting Russia-American relations,\u201d a play on the March 2022 law against \u201cdiscrediting\u201d Russia\u2019s military.<\/p>\n

Sanctions relief a concern<\/h2>\n

Some of the sharpest criticisms of the Kremlin have been about the economy.<\/p>\n

Recent weeks have seen renewed optimism among many in Russia that sanctions relief is on the horizon and that sought-after Western brands may return. Russia \u2013 since 2022 the most sanctioned country in the world \u2013 had previously appeared to accept that sanctions would remain for decades to come.<\/p>\n

The Russian delegation at the recent talks emphasized the prospect of economic cooperation with the United States, no doubt believing Trump to be receptive to such mercantile framings.<\/p>\n

A few days later, Putin announced a willingness to develop Russia\u2019s rare earth minerals with foreign partners, including the United States, in what appeared to be an attempt to outbid Zelenskyy.<\/p>\n

This, too, provoked a populist backlash among Z-patriots. <\/p>\n

\u201cGrampa\u2019s lost it,\u201d one wrote in a thinly veiled swipe at Putin.<\/p>\n

Another displayed dismay that \u201cstealing Russia\u2019s natural resources once again became a prospect for mutually beneficial cooperation with American partners.\u201d <\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019ve barely begun to develop small and medium businesses,\u201d Prilepin noted, deriding the \u201cunbearable\u201d excitement around the possibility of Western brands returning.<\/p>\n

These sentiments have struck a chord with other parts of society. After all, some Russian businesses have benefited from Western brands\u2019 exit from the Russian market. The government is attempting to fend off these criticisms with a new bill proposed to Russia\u2019s parliament on Feb. 27 calling to ban Western companies that had financially supported Ukraine.<\/p>\n

What to do about veterans?<\/h2>\n

Perhaps most consequential will be what happens to the hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers currently on the front lines.<\/p>\n

While runaway military spending and lavish payouts to soldiers continue to strain the Russian economy, demobilization also poses risks.<\/p>\n

A report from the Institute for the Study of War recently concluded that demobilization would be politically risky for the Kremlin, fearful that masses of disgruntled veterans might constitute a potential challenge.<\/p>\n

That said, many of the estimated 700,000 Russian troops in Ukraine will eventually return to civilian life and likely become an important constituency in Russian politics moving forward. <\/p>\n

The Z-patriots may be a product of war, but they will have an afterlife beyond it. Meanwhile, regardless of any Russian rapprochement with the White House \u2013 or perhaps because of it \u2013 Russia\u2019s hawks won\u2019t be turning into doves anytime soon.<\/p>\n

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A majority of Russians are in favor of peace talks, but a very vocal minority eye US overtures with suspicion and contempt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":159,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[315],"tags":[607,609,605,28,613,608,612,610,606,611,585],"class_list":["post-160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-eastern-europe","tag-kremlin","tag-russia","tag-trump-administration","tag-trump-administration-policies","tag-ukraine","tag-ukraine-invasion-2022","tag-us-russia-relations","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-wagner-group","tag-war"],"yoast_head":"\nAs the Kremlin eyes a thaw with the White House, Russia\u2019s pro\u2011war hawks aren\u2019t too\u00a0happy - Pro Relocation Team<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/prorelocationteam.com\/?p=160\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"As the Kremlin eyes a thaw with the White House, Russia\u2019s pro\u2011war hawks aren\u2019t too\u00a0happy - 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